MLB Analytics

MLB Betting
Matchups

AI-powered MLB picks combining pitcher-hitter matchup models, park factors, weather, and confirmed lineups. Early-season coverage, tracking live.

Live

Early Season Coverage

30+

AI Models

68M+

Data Points Per Game

11

Bet Types Live

Overall (15 picks)

80% accuracy

Recommended (10 picks)

70% accuracy

Total Picks Tracked

15

Coverage

MLB bet types we cover

Moneyline
Spread
Total
Player Home Runs
Player RBIs
Player Doubles
Player Walks
Pitcher Strikeouts
Pitcher Outs Recorded
Pitcher Hits Allowed
Pitcher Earned Runs
Multi-Parlays

Features

MLB-specific analytics

Mound Edge + Box Edge Models

Our Mound Edge model evaluates each starting pitcher's arsenal against the opposing lineup's profile. Box Edge scores the matchup from the hitters' side. Bullpen-fatigue scoring is in active development.

Park, Weather, and Lineup Context

Park factors (Coors, Fenway, Oracle, and every park in between), temperature and humidity, rain risk, and confirmed lineup timing all feed into game-level and prop projections — day-after-night scheduling included.

Bottoms-Up Prop Simulation

Component prop models feed a simulated game flow to generate batter and pitcher prop projections. Doubles, home runs, RBIs, and walks for hitters — strikeouts, outs recorded, hits allowed, and earned runs for starters — all come out of team-level simulation rather than isolated player averages.

Multi-Parlay Engine

Algorithmically constructed parlays using PropJuice's grading system yields legs that have high probabilities of hitting. Qualitative notes recommend alternate lines or round robin legs to ensure profitability.

Recent MLB Picks

Latest verified results

B+LOST

Giants @ Athletics

Harrison Bader Over 0.5 Home Runs

1.0+630.4% edge
B+LOST

Phillies @ Pirates

Ryan O'Hearn Over 0.5 Home Runs

1.0+564.1% edge
CWON

Nationals @ Reds

Daylen Lile Over 0.5 Home Runs

1.0+556.0% edge
FWON

Nationals @ Reds

Over 7.5 Total

937%+30.1% edge
B+LOST

Rockies @ Pirates

Over 7.5 Total

991%+42.7% edge

AI-powered MLB betting analytics and matchup models

PropJuice provides MLB betting analytics powered by the same 30+ model ensemble that drives our NBA and NFL coverage, processing over 68 million data points per game. MLB coverage spans moneyline, spreads, totals, batter props (home runs, RBIs, doubles, walks), and pitcher props (strikeouts, outs recorded, hits allowed, earned runs). We're early in the 2026 season — headline hit rates will firm up as the sample grows, and live accuracy is tracked on the results page.

MLB is a pitcher-hitter game, and PropJuice models it that way. Our Mound Edge model scores each starting pitcher's arsenal against the opposing lineup's profile; Box Edge evaluates the same matchup from the hitters' side. Props go through a bottoms-up simulation — component models for each batter outcome feed into a game-flow simulation that respects lineup order, handedness, and park. Bullpen fatigue and umpire tendencies are on the model roadmap.

Park factors swing totals more in MLB than in any other major sport. PropJuice accounts for every park, temperature and humidity, rain risk, and the timing of confirmed lineups. Travel and day-after-night games are factored into fatigue adjustments. Home-away splits are modeled at the team and player level. This situational layer is what separates calibrated projections from raw stat lines.

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